User's appraisal of yield model evaluation criteria

The five major potential USDA users of AgRISTAR crop yield forecast models rated the Yield Model Development (YMD) project Test and Evaluation Criteria by the importance placed on them. These users were agreed that the "TIMELINES" and "RELIABILITY" of the forecast yields would be of major importance in determining if a proposed yield model was worthy of adoption. Although there was considerable difference of opinion as to the relative importance of the other criteria, "COST", "OBJECTIVITY", "ADEQUACY", AND "MEASURES OF ACCURACY" generally were felt to be more important that "SIMPLICITY" and "CONSISTENCY WITH SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE". However, some of the comments which accompanied the ratings did indicate that several of the definitions and descriptions of the criteria were confusing

On the electrical double layer contribution to the interfacial tension of protein crystals

We study the electrical double layer at the interface between a protein crystal and a salt solution or a dilute solution of protein, and estimate the double layer's contribution to the interfacial tension of this interface. This contribution is negative and decreases in magnitude with increasing salt concentration. We also consider briefly the interaction between a pair of protein surfaces.Comment: 6 pages, 3 figures, revtex

The Einstein Ring 0047-2808 Revisited: A Bayesian Inversion

In a previous paper, we outlined a new Bayesian method for inferring the properties of extended gravitational lenses, given data in the form of resolved images. This method holds the most promise for optimally extracting information from the observed image, whilst providing reliable uncertainties in all parameters. Here, we apply the method to the well studied optical Einstein ring 0047-2808. Our results are in broad agreement with previous studies, showing that the density profile of the lensing galaxy is aligned within a few degrees of the light profile, and suggesting that the source galaxy (at redshift 3.6) is a binary system, although its size is only of order 1-2 kpc. We also find that the mass of the elliptical lensing galaxy enclosed by the image is (2.91$\pm$0.01)$\times10^{11}$ M_{\sun}. Our method is able to achieve improved resolution for the source reconstructions, although we also find that some of the uncertainties are greater than has been found in previous analyses, due to the inclusion of extra pixels and a more general lens model.Comment: Accepted for publication in Ap

The lens and source of the optical Einstein ring gravitational lens ER 0047-2808

(Abridged) We perform a detailed analysis of the optical gravitational lens ER 0047-2808 imaged with WFPC2 on the Hubble Space Telescope. Using software specifically designed for the analysis of resolved gravitational lens systems, we focus on how the image alone can constrain the mass distribution in the lens galaxy. We find the data are of sufficient quality to strongly constrain the lens model with no a priori assumptions about the source. Using a variety of mass models, we find statistically acceptable results for elliptical isothermal-like models with an Einstein radius of 1.17''. An elliptical power-law model (Sigma \propto R^-beta) for the surface mass density favours a slope slightly steeper than isothermal with beta = 1.08 +/- 0.03. Other models including a constant M/L, pure NFW halo and (surprisingly) an isothermal sphere with external shear are ruled out by the data. We find the galaxy light profile can only be fit with a Sersic plus point source model. The resulting total M/L_B contained within the images is 4.7 h_65 +/-0.3. In addition, we find the luminous matter is aligned with the total mass distribution within a few degrees. The source, reconstructed by the software, is revealed to have two bright regions, with an unresolved component inside the caustic and a resolved component straddling a fold caustic. The angular size of the entire source is approx. 0.1'' and its (unlensed) Lyman-alpha flux is 3 x 10^-17 erg/s/cm^2.Comment: 13 pages, 5 figures. Revised version accepted for publication in MNRA

Multi-Thread Hydrodynamic Modeling of a Solar Flare

Past hydrodynamic simulations have been able to reproduce the high temperatures and densities characteristic of solar flares. These simulations, however, have not been able to account for the slow decay of the observed flare emission or the absence of blueshifts in high spectral resolution line profiles. Recent work has suggested that modeling a flare as an sequence of independently heated threads instead of as a single loop may resolve the discrepancies between the simulations and observations. In this paper we present a method for computing multi-thread, time-dependent hydrodynamic simulations of solar flares and apply it to observations of the Masuda flare of 1992 January 13. We show that it is possible to reproduce the temporal evolution of high temperature thermal flare plasma observed with the instruments on the \textit{GOES} and \textit{Yohkoh} satellites. The results from these simulations suggest that the heating time-scale for a individual thread is on the order of 200 s. Significantly shorter heating time scales (20 s) lead to very high temperatures and are inconsistent with the emission observed by \textit{Yohkoh}.Comment: Submitted to Ap

A Deep Multicolor Survey I. Imaging Observations and Catalog of Stellar Objects

We have used the KPNO 4-meter Mayall telescope to image 0.83 square degrees of sky in six fields at high galactic latitude in six filters spanning 3000-10000\AA\ to magnitude limits ranging from 22.1 to 23.8. We have assembled a catalog of 21,375 stellar objects detected in the fields for use primarily in conducting a multicolor search for quasars. This paper describes the data reduction techniques used on the CCD data, the methods used to construct the stellar object catalog, and the simulations performed to understand its completeness and contamination.Comment: To Appear in ApJ Supplement, 1996. 168k uuencoded gunzipped tarred tex file (requires aas2pp4.sty and tighten.sty) and 4 PostScript figures. Also available at http://astro.as.arizona.edu/~pathall/astro.html#preprint